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October 16, 2012 General Election Survey
Telephone survey of likely voters within 6 U.S. Congressional and 2 Florida State Senate races in Florida for the November 6 general election, conducted on October 16th, 2012: In this survey of likely voters conducted during the third week in October, we polled on 8 different competitive races. These results are scientifically weighted by political party, race and age. The scientific results shown below each have their sample size and margin of error stated next to the question. This poll is different from our recent polls in that we have in effect conducted two separate polls for each race: a poll of registered voters that uses a sample from all registered voters and then weights the results against the demographics of all registered voters, and a poll of active voters that uses a sample from only those people who have voted in an election within the last four years and then weights the results against the demographics of all active voters.
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 2 do you support Republican Steve Southerland
or Democrat Al Lawson?
REGISTERED (797 responses ± 3.5% MoE) ACTIVE (770 responses ± 3.5% MoE)
Steve Southerland 46.0% 47.4%
Al Lawson 46.4% 46.7%
Undecided 7.7% 5.9%
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 9 do you support Republican Todd Long or Democrat Alan Grayson?
REGISTERED (518 responses ± 4.3% MoE) ACTIVE (612 responses ± 4.0% MoE)
Todd Long 32.4% 40.3%
Alan Grayson 48.6% 44.8%
Undecided 19.1% 14.9%
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 10 do you support Republican Daniel Webster
or Democrat Val B. Demings?
REGISTERED (620 responses ± 3.9% MoE) ACTIVE (680 responses ± 3.8% MoE)
Daniel Webster 47.3% 50.0%
Val B. Demings 41.6% 42.3%
Undecided 11.0% 7.7%
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 18 do you support Republican Allen West
or Democrat Patrick Murphy?
REGISTERED (618 responses ± 3.9% MoE) ACTIVE (586 responses ± 4.0% MoE)
Allen West: 50.4% 50.9%
Patrick Murphy: 41.3% 41.8%
Undecided: 8.3% 7.2%
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 22 do you support Republican Adam Hasner
or Democrat Lois Frankel?
REGISTERED (573 responses ± 4.1% MoE) ACTIVE (557 responses ± 4.2% MoE)
Adam Hasner: 41.7% 44.8%
Lois Frankel: 49.2% 48.0%
Undecided: 9.1% 7.3%
In the race for Representative in Congress from District 26 do you support Republican David Rivera,
Democrat Joe Garcia, No Party Candidate Jose Peixoto or No Party Candidate Angel Fernandez?
REGISTERED (455 responses ± 4.6% MoE) ACTIVE (469 responses ± 4.5% MoE)
David Rivera: 45.7% 45.9%
Joe Garcia: 41.6% 43.4%
Jose Peixoto: 2.8% 1.9%
Angel Fernandez: 0.7% 1.1%
Undecided: 9.2% 7.7%
In the race for State Senator from District 8 do you support Republican Dorothy L. Hukill
or Democrat Frank T. Bruno Jr.?
REGISTERED (509 responses ± 4.3% MoE) ACTIVE (490 responses ± 4.4% MoE)
Dorothy L. Hukill: 50.2% 50.0%
Frank T. Bruno Jr.: 33.6% 38.0%
Undecided: 16.1% 12.0%
In the race for State Senator from District 34 do you support Republican Ellyn Bogdanoff
or Democrat Maria Sachs?
REGISTERED (598 responses ± 4.0% MoE) ACTIVE (593 responses ± 4.0% MoE)
Ellyn Bogdanoff: 47.0% 47.5%
Maria Sachs: 44.9% 44.9%
Undecided: 8.1% 7.6%
Click here to download the full PDF survey report, including demographic breakdown data |
